Posted by
Ken Moyes on Tuesday, March 25, 2008 1:50:38 AM
In economics books it is called Comparative Advantage.It is the underlying key to successful trade among nations.In
non-economist terms, it is what can I offer that the other guy can’t
that will give me an advantage in trading so I come out on top.
When the United States was very young, we had unbelievable amounts
of natural resources.As
we approached the twentieth century we had a powerful work force
achieved through the immigration of people looking for a better
opportunity.These people were both adventurous and driven to succeed –
they made a productive work force.Oh yes! we still had abundant natural
resources.In
the second half of the twentieth century, after the two world wars,
Asia and Europe were devastated and without infrastructure, and they
were in need of all things manufactured as they were rebuilding.The
comparative advantage of the United States was its gargantuan
manufacturing infrastructure resulting from the build up to produce for
World War II, and the many technical achievements gleaned from the war
arsenal.We had a customer – the world – ready to consume any and all
that we could produce.In
effect we not only had a comparative advantage, but also an absolute
advantage – we could only prosper – we could literally phone it in.It
was all about us!
By the close of the twentieth century both Asia
and Europe, with the exception of the iron curtain countries and the
Republic of China, had rebuilt their infrastructure, and in many cases
with more up to date and productive manufacturing facilities than we
had.The United States had fewer desirable / usable natural
resources.Our coal reserves became unpopular and our desire to not
spoil our planet kept us from fully developing our oil reserves.In
the mean time, oil was becoming the key natural resource in the world
for the later part of the twentieth century and the early part of the
twenty first century.
In the second half of the twentieth century, we became oblivious to the world – remember it was all about us!We
paid our people ever increasing wages in manufacturing, added many
unproductive work rules, and taxed our companies to the point that all
three events took away our comparative world trade advantage in
manufacturing.We were now at a trade disadvantage – yet our appetite to consume was still feverish.During
this period, it became more advantageous for our manufacturing
companies to move manufacturing overseas. If they had not done so, they
would not have been able to compete on the world stage and be
profitable. During this period, one bright spot in our comparative
advantage was our strength in technology and highly educated and well
trained engineers.Our use of technology gave us a comparative advantage in productivity.We
continued to utilize our comparative advantage in the trade of
technology – we thought it up and it was manufactured overseas.Over
the last quarter of the twentieth century and the beginning of the
twenty first century, Asia caught up, only with a twist – same or
better engineering with lower wages – the comparative advantage shifted
in their favor.We also allowed our schools to lose their leadership in delivering a strong education from K through 12.
Today, what do we offer: restrained under utilized
resources, a broken education system, uncompetitive costs on a world
scale due to high wages on the remaining manufacturing jobs (auto
industry), a declining infrastructure, comparatively high taxes on
companies attempting world trade, and a voracious appetite to consume
manufactured goods and oil from overseas?Yet our political leadership
continues along as if we remained the pre-eminent holders of all things
comparative trade.Our
free trade agreements are good, yet we entered the trade arena with a
handicap – we have no comparative advantage, so they are NOT good for
us at this time.Protectionism will not work, because the nations of
world can get along trading among themselves – they no longer need us.
What do we need to do?
- Business: stop taxing our domestic businesses
engaged in manufacturing, give them a financial trade advantage as they
will still be paying higher wages for manufacturing workers than their
world competition; remove the health insurance financial burden from
business and move it to a national health insurance system; move to a
consumption tax and stop taxing the businesses that need to trade to
grow so they can build and offer more good paying jobs – we need to put
our domestic businesses on a level playing field with the rest of the
world.
- Children:target our children by
giving them all a top flight education and by challenging them with a
tougher curriculum, and longer school years just as advantaged world
trading nations do.
- Energy:drill for and refine our
untouched domestic oil reserves in the short term; utilize nuclear,
clean coal, and solar in the mid-term; develop wind, geo-thermal,
advanced solar, tidal and hydrogen fuel in the long term. We need to
lower the cost to produce and transport.
If we don’t rebuild our lost comparative advantage
we will never hold a free trade advantage, we will continue to become a
nation of past successes and a second tier nation at that. Remember it
is a world economy now and the competition is fierce.
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